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Re:MWC 2020 canceled over coronavirus health concerns by retsibsi on Wednesday February 12, 2020 @06:30PM (#22313916)
> Everything points to this thing having a mortality similar to the seasonal flu.

Can you justify this? I want to be convinced, because at the moment I think it's very optimistic. (There are different estimates for seasonal flu mortality, but it seems to be around 0.1%, so I'm assuming that's roughly the number you mean.)

Re:MWC 2020 canceled over coronavirus health concerns by cm2187 on Thursday February 13, 2020 @02:36AM (#22316008)
The mortality measured in China is about 2%. Outside of China, I read it was rather 0.15%. And what I read is the 2% is based on the number of people who show up at the hospital with symptoms and get diagnosed. The doctors think there is a large but unknown population out there, with milder symptoms, who don't show up. Understandly. If you have what looks like a cold, you don't really want to go to the place where everyone is contaminated with the coronavirus.

So it looks like 2% is kind of the upper bound but that the actual rate will be lower.

Re:MWC 2020 canceled over coronavirus health concerns by koheripbal on Saturday February 15, 2020 @07:31PM (#22339030)
This is wrong. The only way to get 0.15 is by dividing dead over total cases - which is not the correct math since most people infected are still ongoing.

You have to divide dead over dead+recovered, and outside of China those numbers are still too small to get a reliable number.

In China it is 2% outside Wuhan, but inside Wuhan it is over 4% since the medical system has broken down.