Re:MWC 2020 canceled over coronavirus health concerns
by downerending on Wednesday February 12, 2020 @04:20PM
(#22312929)
They're worth effort, but the answer is that the parameters area reasonably well known. Suicide isn't increasing exponentially, for example.
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Re:MWC 2020 canceled over coronavirus health concerns
by lawlorino on Wednesday February 12, 2020 @05:03PM
(#22313298)
Exactly this. The expected annual deaths from suicide are normally distributed whereas a highly contagious disease is long-tailed, i.e. a non-negligible probability of a huge number of fatalities.