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Re:January 2020 warmest on record: EU climate service by 1propionyl on Wednesday February 05, 2020 @06:45AM (#22245940)
A vanishingly small probability on a finite sample still implies nothing beyond a vanishingly small probability over an infinite population.

To analogize: the vanishingly unlikely probability of landing a dart precisely in the center of the bullseye on a finitely sized dartboard implies nothing more than the same for an infinitely large dartboard.

See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Almost_surely (in particular the mathematical concept of "almost never")

Re:January 2020 warmest on record: EU climate service by ramblerman on Wednesday February 05, 2020 @06:54AM (#22245974)
> See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Almost_surely (in particular the mathematical concept of "almost never")

You're confused here, did you read the mathematical definition of your own article?

It has nothing to do with what you think, it starts with the presumption of P(E) = 1 or P(E) = 0 for almost never.

That's not what we are talking about with small probabilities.