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Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by UI_at_80x24 on Thursday January 30, 2020 @03:38PM (#22195283)
Coronavirus:

-5,974 confirmed cases

-170 deaths

[1]For comparisons the SARS outbreak of 2003:

-8,098 people worldwide became sick

-774 died

[1]https://www.cdc.gov/sars/about/fs-sars.html

Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by guiomie on Thursday January 30, 2020 @03:43PM (#22195327)
Could you add the timeframe of each pandemic? I believe the coronavirus is 1-2 months old, but how long was SARS to get to 774? I feel like the comparaison isn't great without timeline.
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by arkadiyt on Thursday January 30, 2020 @03:51PM (#22195429)
Here are some graphs showing exactly that:

https://ncov.r6.no/

It's also worth noting that the ~8k confirmed cases are bottlenecked by how fast China can perform tests. Here's an article guesstimating that there were up to 100k infections a few days ago:

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/jan/26/coronavirus-...

Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by alamortsubite on Thursday January 30, 2020 @04:10PM (#22195624)
> It's also worth noting that the ~8k confirmed cases are bottlenecked by how fast China can perform tests.

Do you have more info on this? I thought the test was a simple swab deal that a country like China could crank through like nobody's business. Like, at least for a few more orders of magnitude.

Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by alamortsubite on Thursday January 30, 2020 @04:57PM (#22196204)
Replying to myself, this article linked in a sibling comment discusses the issue: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/30/asia/chinese-health-care-...
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by makomk on Thursday January 30, 2020 @04:46PM (#22196082)
Yeah, China's healthcare system does not seem to be coping well with this: https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/30/asia/chinese-health-care-...
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by burundi_coffee on Thursday January 30, 2020 @03:44PM (#22195339)
There are already 8243 confirmed cases.

https://thewuhanvirus.com/

Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by Symmetry on Thursday January 30, 2020 @04:42PM (#22196037)
The number of cases reported has been going up by 30% to 70% every day. People in China are taking a number of measures to limit spread but given the potentially long contagious incubation period of the virus it might be a while for that to reduce the visible increase even if it has been relatively effective.
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by vbezhenar on Friday January 31, 2020 @02:23AM (#22199792)
It seems that this virus spreading too easy, so it's not possible to contain it, not now anyway. The best we can do is to slow it down and develop treatment as soon as possible to reduce number of lethal cases. But it'll infect the whole world anyway and poor countries with bad medicine system will struggle a lot.
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by fctorial on Thursday January 30, 2020 @09:58PM (#22198581)
The ui of the map on this page is eerily similar to plague inc.
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by fctorial on Thursday January 30, 2020 @10:01PM (#22198604)
The news feed too.
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by Scarblac on Thursday January 30, 2020 @03:55PM (#22195467)
Many of those confirmed cases may still die, so that is not an apples to apples comparison.

Currently the number of fully recovered people is lower than the number of deaths.

Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by steve_musk on Thursday January 30, 2020 @03:52PM (#22195443)
Just to put it in better perspective:

Coronavirus:

-5,974 confirmed cases

-170 deaths

-143 recoveries

-5,661 still sick

SARS:

-8,098 cases

-774 deaths

-7,324 recoveries

Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by wyldfire on Thursday January 30, 2020 @04:44PM (#22196055)
Virulence versus pathogenicity. Perhaps you contend that SARS' pathogenicity is greater than this coronavirus'? But virulence demands our attention, too. Why? Because public engagement can help prevent its spread.

When AIDS/HIV was near its peak, folks would often compare it in a similar fashion to cancer. If we ignore the fact that cancer is a big diverse bucket, most/many cancers really don't have any 'virulence' so getting public attention to drive best practices to mitigate spread just don't make any sense.

Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by steve_musk on Thursday January 30, 2020 @08:03PM (#22197919)
No, I think you are misunderstanding the thread or projecting something onto the statistics.
Re:WHO declares coronavirus outbreak a public health emergency by SysINT on Thursday January 30, 2020 @03:55PM (#22195475)
Genomic epidemiology of novel coronavirus (nCoV) via https://nextstrain.org/ncov indicates a beginning last month. SARS-CoV is 13 months or so in length https://www.cdc.gov/about/history/sars/timeline.htm