While making it, I was watching the numbers quite closely. An observation I made is that the official statistics were ~900 officially confirmed cases on the 24th evening, ~1200 officially confirmed cases 25th (morning), yet only 1300 officially confirmed cases on the 25th (evening). Why ~50% jump then nothing? All previous figures had followed this hyperbolic path.
A few possible reasons (conjecture): overwhelmed doctors, possible low level bureaucratic pressures not to report or admit new cases, people dying at home, undiagnosed infections, geographic spread and Chinese New Year resulting in slower diagnosis.
All we can really take from this is that clearly the official statistics are only part of the story. In terms of the speed of the domestic geographic spread, it is horrifying. The cat is truly out of the bag.
While making it, I was watching the numbers quite closely. An observation I made is that the official statistics were ~900 officially confirmed cases on the 24th evening, ~1200 officially confirmed cases 25th (morning), yet only 1300 officially confirmed cases on the 25th (evening). Why ~50% jump then nothing? All previous figures had followed this hyperbolic path.
A few possible reasons (conjecture): overwhelmed doctors, possible low level bureaucratic pressures not to report or admit new cases, people dying at home, undiagnosed infections, geographic spread and Chinese New Year resulting in slower diagnosis.
All we can really take from this is that clearly the official statistics are only part of the story. In terms of the speed of the domestic geographic spread, it is horrifying. The cat is truly out of the bag.