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Re:One-quarter of the world’s pigs died in a year due to swi... by mschuster91 on Thursday January 02, 2020 @03:10PM (#21939277)
> - As a result, global proteins will enter a multi-year up-cycle. All proteins (beef, chicken, pork) will benefit.

I am not so optimistic. Climate change discussions, a couple notable exceptions (Trump, Bolsonaro, Morrison) aside, generally has recognized that animal protein and the efforts required to create it (deforestation for growing food, over-nitration due to feces used as fertilizer) are no longer sustainable. I can very well imagine massive bans or quotas as a result, the Dutch government is actually forced to do something to reduce their CO2 contributions by their Supreme Court.

Re:One-quarter of the world’s pigs died in a year due to swi... by perl4ever on Friday January 03, 2020 @12:56AM (#21943636)
If priced accurately, why do you think the externalities of CO2 are anywhere near enough to destroy demand for meat?

I only perennially bring this up, because one time I was interested in what the numbers might be, and I looked up the National Resources Defense Council estimates were for the economic impact of global warming in ~a half century. The rather startling figures were only a few dollars per gallon of gas. Not to be at all precise, by "a few" I mean 1-10. Not, it seems to me, qualitatively different that the difference between US and European gas prices. Obviously people still eat meat in the EU and haven't radically changed their lifestyle.

I'm not saying that therefore we should not stop climate change, just that as far as I know, the NRDC is reasonably reputable, not a nest of deniers, and they didn't seem to be supporting an economic case for major changes to everyone's lifestyle. That should be shocking, or at least require some resolution.

Some people do have the opinion that mainstream sources downplay the consequences of global warming so as not to be too alarmist, and in fact we can't be too alarmist because it really is too late. Maybe that is correct, but when there is such a disconnect and people just don't talk about it most of the time, it deeply worries me. Not just the idea that the world might be ending and we aren't resolving how to prevent it, but that maybe nobody who is talking about these things is serious at all.

Re:One-quarter of the world’s pigs died in a year due to swi... by bluejay2 on Thursday January 02, 2020 @03:21PM (#21939382)
Protein prices would likely benefit still under that scenario, at least in the short run, as you are talking about drastically limiting supply. Presumably the demand would still be there.
Re:One-quarter of the world’s pigs died in a year due to swi... by jessaustin on Thursday January 02, 2020 @04:01PM (#21939775)
Don't base your investments on wishful thinking.
Re:One-quarter of the world’s pigs died in a year due to swi... by moosey on Thursday January 02, 2020 @05:02PM (#21940393)
All of your suggestions will also cause the prices of animal-based foods to rise. I hope those price increases are substantial.
Re:One-quarter of the world’s pigs died in a year due to swi... by xwowsersx on Thursday January 02, 2020 @03:26PM (#21939422)
Multi-year could be just 2-5 years. You're talking a much longer-term structural thing. China has to deal with soaring pork prices. I don't think they care about environmental impact.