What’s Wrong with Bayes

Re:What’s Wrong with Bayes by jbay808 on Wednesday December 04, 2019 @09:38PM (#21709501)

Just to be clear why this whole conversation thread is a TypeError, let's say I assign a probability of 99.9% to the hypothesis that the state space of the universe is finite, and 0.1% to the state space of the universe being infinite...

... In that case, how big is my hypothesis space about possible states of the universe?

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:What’s Wrong with Bayes by sooheon on Thursday December 05, 2019 @12:51AM (#21710272)

If you had a blog of thoughts along these lines I’d subscribe.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:What’s Wrong with Bayes by jbay808 on Thursday December 05, 2019 @05:38PM (#21717454)

Not as of yet but hopefully soon! Thanks for the encouragement =)

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:What’s Wrong with Bayes by perl4ever on Thursday December 05, 2019 @07:48AM (#21711859)

What if you assign a probability of 0.1% to the possibility of 2 + 2 = 5?

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:What’s Wrong with Bayes by jbay808 on Thursday December 05, 2019 @05:09PM (#21717178)

Then you might have this experience: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6FmqiAgS8h4EJm86s/how-to-con...

[ Parent | on HN ]