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Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by acidburnNSA on Monday December 02, 2019 @01:51AM (#21680391)
Gas turbines are indeed simple. And fracked gas is amazingly cheap and plentiful. The problem there is that it's exceedingly high carbon. If you factor in methane leakage at the wells and in the pipes it approaches and even exceeds coal carbon emissions. We must stop locking in fracked gas turbines if we are to avoid climate change issues.

Nuclear companies are trying to deal with load following by coupling to energy storage systems like thermal storage (molten salts), pumped hydro, and batteries. In an increasingly variable-renewable world, more energy storage is required. The nukes can be used to charge batteries in the daytime while the solar PV runs the grid, and then for the evening peak while solar ramps down, the nukes and batteries carry the evening, and then the nukes do the baseload at night.

The one thing that nuclear reactors can do that no other energy source can do is provide hugely-deployable 24/7 low-carbon energy for over a year (e.g. through the seasons). Hydro can do it in some places but it's mostly maxed out in the proper geography.

Finally, EROI on wind/solar with massive battery systems gets dangerously low.

Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by Retric on Monday December 02, 2019 @07:57AM (#21681952)
Wind and solar charge batteries/pumped hydro at vastly lower prices. If you take 2c/kWh solar add 50% oversupply to cover seasonal issues you’re at 3c/kWh.

Thus it’s really storage that Nuclear needs to compete with not generation. Further, as nuclear takes years to build it’s competing with future battery prices 5-55 years from now. Using conservative total system costs of say 200$ per kWh of storage every day for 10 years (200/10/365) ~= 5.5c/kWh. So, Nuclear needs to compete with load following at (3+5.5) = 8.5c/kWh for part of the day or mass generation at 3c/kWh. Assuming it’s ~50/50 of each your 24/7 Nuclear is facing 6c/kWh average electricity prices.

Also, EROI can’t actually get low when you’re talking electricity at those prices.

PS: My comparison to turbines was simply a minimal calculation of capital costs. It’s an argument that any design will have higher capital costs and thus you can safely use that as your theoretical perfect design’s capital cost. Then add other costs on top of that to try and find Nuclear’s minimum theoretical cost.

Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by acidburnNSA on Monday December 02, 2019 @10:30AM (#21683203)
As wind/solar scales, it's likely to get more regulation. There will be fires in battery facilities. People in San Bernardino county will put a moratorium on large solar installations in the desert due to dust storms, etc. This kind of thing always happens, and with wind/solar it will be because they take up so much land and raw materials. Nuclear was once a wonder energy source (in 1958), but as it scaled it ran into troubles. There is some probability that this will happen to wind/solar too. This will slow them down (due to permitting) and increase costs. Intermittency is their boogeyman. When you have enough solar to power everything at noon in the summer, each additional panel becomes a little more expensive than the last.

EROI is just energy system output/manufacturing energy in. How is that a function of price?

Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by Retric on Monday December 02, 2019 @11:37AM (#21683995)
Solar’s energy density is surprisingly high. To average 1GW of solar at 30% capacity factor = 3.4GW @ 220w/m^2 = 0.076% of San Bernardino county. Put all of the states electricity generation as solar in that one county and your at ~2% land area. Even that’s not going to have any effect on dust storms.

EROI is a function of price in that you need to pay for more than just energy when building something, interest payments for example. If your infrastructure costs X$ to build it must use far less than X$ worth of energy. And, if you’re building the cheapest energy source possible it must therefore have a high EROI.

Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by acidburnNSA on Monday December 02, 2019 @12:11PM (#21684356)
https://www.sbsun.com/2019/02/28/san-bernardino-county-board...

> And, if you’re building the cheapest energy source possible it must therefore have a high EROI.

That's only true to the degree that the energy cost of building an energy system is directly proportional to the dollar cost, which is often very not true.

Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by Retric on Monday December 02, 2019 @12:46PM (#21684735)
It’s got nothing to do with dust storms: https://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-san-bernardino-solar-...

This is simply pure NIMBI issue which also hits nuclear power.

“That's only true to the degree that the energy cost of building an energy system is directly proportional to the dollar cost, which is often very not true.”

This is an economic argument if X$ buys you K energy from the cheapest energy source it buys some number less than K from more expensive energy sources. Thus the least expensive energy source must have positive EROI. As solar is capital intensive interest payments representing zero energy are a significant cost, which pushes up the minimum possible EROI.

Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by acidburnNSA on Thursday December 05, 2019 @02:21AM (#21710561)
> It’s got nothing to do with dust storms

From your link:

"They came from high desert communities such as Daggett, Joshua Tree and Lucerne Valley, where existing solar projects are seen by many as eyesores that destroy desert ecosystems and fuel larger dust storms."

Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by Retric on Friday December 06, 2019 @12:52AM (#21719567)
Yes, note the “seen by many“ which is used because there is zero truth in the statement.
Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by acidburnNSA on Friday December 06, 2019 @01:22AM (#21719676)
You're saying there are no dust storms. I'm saying the people whining about things like dust storms put in place a ban. We could easily both be 100% right.
Re:Canadian provinces band together to develop nuclear react... by Retric on Saturday December 07, 2019 @07:14AM (#21729864)
Ahh, ok my mistake.