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Re:Excite CEO: Why Excite didn't buy Google (2014) [audio] by dabbernaught420 on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @03:16AM (#21646165)
Investors don't work with perfect information. They work with imperfect information. This means that it is impossible to predict with certainty what will happen.

So it's important to remember that an investor who passes on a product that goes on to become very successful may have actually made the best possible decision given the information that she had.

Re:Excite CEO: Why Excite didn't buy Google (2014) [audio] by jdmichal on Wednesday November 27, 2019 @08:18AM (#21647548)
It's exactly this. You have to judge a decision based on the merits of the decision, not on the outcome. A great example is poker. I should call an all-in on a hand I will win 95% of the time. I will still lose one in twenty times. That does not mean it was a bad decision.