Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability...
by mlang23 on Wednesday October 09, 2019 @01:17AM
(#21200256)
https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
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Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability...
by thaumasiotes on Wednesday October 09, 2019 @02:52AM
(#21200727)
As I look at the page (which I believe changes randomly), I especially appreciate the 0.81 correlation between "letters in winning word of Scripps National Spelling Bee" and "number of people killed by venomous spiders".
It's a good one in two ways. First, it's nicely obvious that these things are unrelated. Second, these are two variables that fluctuate (together) over time -- a lot of the spurious correlations turn out to be two things that basically just increase or decrease more or less constantly over the period in question.
Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability...
by jaclaz on Wednesday October 09, 2019 @04:02AM
(#21201060)
>I especially appreciate the ...
And you missed this > 0.99 one (a bit dated, still ...):
Apple iPhone sales
correlates with
People who died by falling down the stairs
Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability...
by thaumasiotes on Wednesday October 09, 2019 @11:07AM
(#21203926)
Sure, but like all the 0.99+ correlations, that one is just two lines moving in the same direction.
Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability...
by SuoDuanDao on Wednesday October 09, 2019 @09:34AM
(#21203028)
Now I'm having fun imagining all the various hypothetical conspiracies that are causing these correlations.