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Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability... by panpanna on Tuesday October 08, 2019 @04:33PM (#21196918)
This seems extremely far-fetched, see for example comment on Twitter pointing out some flaws.

Reminds me of that company that revived millions of dollars for their software for finding hidden messages on the internet and somehow predicting terror attacks.

Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability... by lonelappde on Tuesday October 08, 2019 @04:37PM (#21196961)
No one sells silver in this story. It's a benchmark currency used to set the tax baseline.

The main flaw is that the graph doesn't show a correlation of fluctuations, it just shows two high-variance metrics increasing over time.

> https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

> 2.5 million terrorist chat board messages from the dark web

Now that's fascinating.

Re:Fluctuations in silver prices can predict the probability... by panpanna on Tuesday October 08, 2019 @04:57PM (#21197188)
Sorry, removed that part before I saw your comment :(

I agree with your comment.