Re:WeWork Parent Weighs Slashing Its Valuation in Half
by Danieru on Thursday September 05, 2019 @08:17PM
(#20891860)
Softbank cannot let either scenario S or B happen. Masatoshi-san needs the plates to stay in the air for his second fund to come together. He is a man who doubles down until broke. It is both what has made him so successful, and also why I do not buy softbank stock.
https://thisweekinstartups.com/e969
One part that really resonated is when Calacanis is arguing that, once you become super rich, you need to rely on your authentic, pre-rich friends to give you candid advice (because after you become super rich, you can't really trust new friends when so many folks want a piece of your wealth). Calacanis' idea, which makes sense to me, is that Neumann didn't have a strong enough social base, so that he didn't have anyone candidly telling him stuff like "Umm, you know, this We trademark licensing deal is completely batshit insane and analysts will see this as a giant, bedazzled red flag" before he went ahead and did it.
Insightfully, Calacanis predicted Neumann would walk back the licensing deal, and actually talks about Masayoshi Son being one of the only people that can give Neumann the harsh dose of reality he needs.
I think this is all kind of a moot point, though. It's like WeWork jumped out of an airplane without a parachute and is now going "How do we fix this??" I'd put money down on some form of either (a) a restructuring or (b) essentially being taken over by the major lenders/investors as inevitable.