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Re:Goldman docs: Facebook income $355m, revenue $1.2bn (firs... by jerf on Thursday January 06, 2011 @06:30PM (#2077800)
I'm pessimistic about that. YMMV. (Note, I'm not saying you're wrong and I did upmod you. I'm just disclosing my pessimism.)

Facebook's basic play is to build a lot of value into their network by bringing as many people in as possible, make some pocket change in the process, then eventually figure out how to milk the surplus value which will certainly be a large amount of value. My skepticism lies mostly in the execution of that second step; I'm totally unconvinced there's an ad bonanza large enough to fund this. Maybe there is. I think somebody's going to actually have to sell something and it's not clear to me what will work on the promised scale. That or they're going to have to raise the barrier of entry and if they do that they'll trigger the open internet competition in a heartbeat, competition already coming together and will be ready to go when that happens. The act of squeezing the surplus value of the network is the exact same act that will create their decentralized open competition.

But hey, who knows. Sometimes you get MySpace, sometimes you get Google. You tend to only be able to definitely tell them apart in hindsight.

Re:Goldman docs: Facebook income $355m, revenue $1.2bn (firs... by nl on Thursday January 06, 2011 @06:43PM (#2077855)
Have you tried advertising on Facebook?

It's pretty easy. You can select your target audience by gender, location, age group, and interest(s), and then select if you want to pay per impression or per click.

It is a good system (just as easy to use as Google's) and it gives good results. I've tried it, and that's why I'm bullish on them.

(It's worth noting that advertising has funded newspapers for hundreds of years, television for 50 years, and Google for 10 years and is proven to work in those cases. I shouldn't have to say it, but apparently some people continue to doubt that advertising is a reasonable funding model at all, regardless of the specifics of Facebook)

Another way to look at it: Do you think Yahoo or Facebook is more relevant to the average user, and what is the trend for each one, and what is the likely trend for advertising spend on each platform? (Note that Yahoo is currently worth $22 billion)

Re:Goldman docs: Facebook income $355m, revenue $1.2bn (firs... by michaelchisari on Thursday January 06, 2011 @06:45PM (#2077859)
Advertising is a reasonable funding model, but when the expectations are unreasonable, then people will question whether advertising can be an unreasonable funding model, in the sense of positive returns.
Re:Goldman docs: Facebook income $355m, revenue $1.2bn (firs... by nl on Thursday January 06, 2011 @07:14PM (#2077936)
I've sort-of replied to this here: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2077931

Basically, I think there expectations aren't as unreasonable as the large numbers seem to imply.