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Re:‘No One Saw a Thing’: When a Midwest Town Banded Together... by parsnips on Friday August 09, 2019 @08:34PM (#20659389)
Because violent felonies such as homicide proximity is the requisite factor in victimhood. ie The victim must be located near the killer.

Given 1 homicide in 100k for 100sq miles called "rural" vs 1 homicide in 100k for 5 sq miles called "urban", your odds of being in proximity of a homicide are much higher in the urban area. 20 times more likely.

Re:‘No One Saw a Thing’: When a Midwest Town Banded Together... by adamson on Friday August 09, 2019 @09:33PM (#20659601)
I live in lower Manhattan, and there have been many shootings within a mile of me in the past year, even a few within two blocks of me, but because the per-capita numbers are so low, I'm pretty unconcerned about being shot, and so it doesn't really bother that I'm near the shootings. I don't really see how standardizing by (people * area) does you any good in capturing public safety, or even perceived public safety
Re:‘No One Saw a Thing’: When a Midwest Town Banded Together... by ryanpetrich on Friday August 09, 2019 @08:58PM (#20659491)
Being further away from killers that I'm equally likely to be victims of isn't any more comforting.
Re:‘No One Saw a Thing’: When a Midwest Town Banded Together... by fenomas on Saturday August 10, 2019 @02:01AM (#20660471)
> Because violent felonies such as homicide proximity is the requisite factor in victimhood

This doesn't stand up. Crime statistics are measured after the crimes happen; whatever effect might be due to proximity has already taken place.

Consider: in your example you say two places have equal per-capita homicide rates but one is 20x denser. It follows that the denser area will have 20x more people "in proximity" to any given homicide, and therefore that P(victim|proximity) must be 20x lower compared to the rural place.

The way you've done the math only makes sense if everyone "in proximity" of a homicide was equally likely to be a victim, but given equal per-capita rates that can't be the case.