Re:Global economy is probably in recession
by ep103 on Friday August 09, 2019 @12:05PM
(#20655604)
There were fears of recession in 2016 too
[ Parent
| on HN ]
And 2015
Also 2017-2018.
Basically every year there are fears of recession.
Re:Global economy is probably in recession
by SantalBlush on Friday August 09, 2019 @01:23PM
(#20656427)
>Basically every year there are fears of recession.
Not if you're an economist. We have some standard indicators to gauge economic growth, and those years you mentioned looked fine according to most indicators.
The "economists don't know what they're doing" trope is overused. Economists are always wrong, but they still have a track record of being less wrong than everyone else.
"Economists have correctly predicted 9 of the last 5 recessions."
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-28/economist...
More like, predictably bad in a wisdom-of-the-crowd way that could actually result in a good prediction: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-07-19/recess...