Re:China lets yuan break 7-per-dollar level for first time i...
by thedudeabides5 on Monday August 05, 2019 @02:52PM
(#20617246)
Sure, and therein lies the difference in incentives between those with lots of CNY denominated assets (owners, aka the rich) and those who's employment and/or income is more tied directly to the demand conditions faced by exporters (workers, aka the poor).
Once the 7 line is crossed, owners are more likely to seek diversification through getting out of CNY and into USD/Gold.
Some of that downward pressure on the FX is likely good for demand in China (hence Trump saying they are doing it competitively) but it's also bad for liquidity in China (to the degree people start to price in further devaluations and capital flight kicks up again).
That's the balancing act the PBOC is trying to manage.
Thusfar they've done a pretty good job balancing, though it remains to be seen how the end game looks.
Once the 7 line is crossed, owners are more likely to seek diversification through getting out of CNY and into USD/Gold.
Some of that downward pressure on the FX is likely good for demand in China (hence Trump saying they are doing it competitively) but it's also bad for liquidity in China (to the degree people start to price in further devaluations and capital flight kicks up again).
That's the balancing act the PBOC is trying to manage.
Thusfar they've done a pretty good job balancing, though it remains to be seen how the end game looks.