Re:When Worse Is Better (2011)
by ncmncm on Sunday August 04, 2019 @11:50PM
(#20611128)
That was the premise.
But the conditions omit the all-important consequence. "What are your priors?" Suppose 99% of choices have hardly any consequence, and Bob is wrong on 95%. But Bob is right on the most expensive places to fail. Then, choosing the opposite could be disastrous, even though you get 95% of the choices right.
But the conditions omit the all-important consequence. "What are your priors?" Suppose 99% of choices have hardly any consequence, and Bob is wrong on 95%. But Bob is right on the most expensive places to fail. Then, choosing the opposite could be disastrous, even though you get 95% of the choices right.