Re:The Lithium Mine Buildup Is Outpacing the Electric-Car Boom
by WorldMaker on Monday July 29, 2019 @12:16PM
(#20556184)
Autonomy is a red herring to cheap.
Other form factors are nice, but also indirectly related.
On the other hand it may only take one tiny disruption in ICE engine supply chains, or one large production ramp up to an order of scale efficiency boost to drop EVs below ICE vehicle costs on a like-model for like-model basis. With all of the major German automakers now on an "electrify everything by 2023" plan, one or both of those disruptions may exactly happen within the next five years.
To make electric cars cheaply, it will take several changes, some of which look promising, but should not be underestimated for time and difficulty:
It will take widespread adoption of level 4 autonomy to make crashes rare
Scaled-down lightweight EVs will have to become available and accepted, especially w.r.t. safety
It will take finding the sweet spot for some markets: E.g. on-demand scooters, privately owned semi-enclosed trikes with light-enough removable battery packs for apartment dwellers, etc. Vehicles will need a "Cambrian explosion" of variety.
It will take regulatory changes to support the above