A Black Hole Engulfing the World's Bond Markets

Re:A Black Hole Engulfing the World's Bond Markets by dnadler on Sunday July 28, 2019 @04:08PM (#20549550)

US Treasuries may be the closest thing to 'risk-free' that there is, but isn't 100% risk-free. If the investor does not hold the bond to maturity, then he/she is open to interest rate risk (the risk that rates have changed, and so has the bond's value).

Even if the investor plans to hold the bond to maturity, then the investor is agreeing to lock up that money until maturity. This carries the risk that the investor won't be able to take advantage of an investment opportunity before then. Or, if he decides to sell at that moment, he must accept interest rate risk.

The investor should be compensated for these risks, however small they might be, and that - in my opinion - is why treasuries should yield more than inflation.

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Re:A Black Hole Engulfing the World's Bond Markets by sjaknanxnnx on Monday July 29, 2019 @01:40AM (#20551772)

I was right there with you until the last three words. Investors ought to be compensated, but there’s no particular reason that compensation should be greater than the inflation rate.

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Re:A Black Hole Engulfing the World's Bond Markets by ggg3 on Sunday July 28, 2019 @04:48PM (#20549774)

that's not what risk means. no investment considers early exit because of difficulty as a risk. even legislation call that "investor profile" or something meaningless or another.

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Re:A Black Hole Engulfing the World's Bond Markets by dnadler on Monday July 29, 2019 @06:42AM (#20553156)

By selling a bond before maturity, you're open to price fluctuations of the bond. It's not that the investor is exiting early, it's that by exiting early he is no long guaranteed the yield of the bond when he purchased it. Thurs, the yield is not "risk-free", and the risk is that the price moved in the market.

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