Re:The Central Limit Theorem and Sampling
by kgwgk on Sunday July 07, 2019 @10:50AM
(#20375354)
Stock prices surely have finite variance... but itβs true that it can be high enough to be problematic and if you choose to use an infinite-variance distribution to model prices you may need to pay attention to the consequences.
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Re:The Central Limit Theorem and Sampling
by deepsun on Wednesday July 10, 2019 @01:58AM
(#20399478)
> Stock prices surely have finite variance.
Are you sure? On my data, they are most closely modeled by Pareto distribution (infinite variance).
As far as I remember, that was discovered by Mandelbrot, studying cotton stocks.
Do you really think there is a non-zero probability of the price of a stock, say Apple, closing today over $1000? Over $1mn? Over $1bn? Over $184467440737095516.15 which is the largest number of cents that can be stored as a 64-bit integer? Over 10^100 dollars?