Re:The Most Reliable Recession Indicator of the Past 50 Year...
by ativzzz on Wednesday July 03, 2019 @06:49PM
(#20349710)
The first article mentions specifically weaker sales for smartphones (as well as US/China tensions) as the culprit. Makes sense that this industry is underperforming no? The (high-end) smart phone market has become saturated, and there is no need to buy smart phones anywhere near as quickly as phone manufacturers want us to, and especially not at flagship phone prices.
Seems more the case of market saturation than signs of a recession.
> However, network communication- and server-related applications are likely to continue seeing growths, Lee added.
Other markets seem to be doing just dandy
Re:The Most Reliable Recession Indicator of the Past 50 Year...
by hadsed on Wednesday July 03, 2019 @07:32PM
(#20350081)
So what is the difference between saturation and recession? To me it seems like you're going to invest and pile on until you hit saturation, in which case you have to cut back because the demand isn't there. That cut back is recession (for that market), no?
1. PCB makers deferring new equipment installation: https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20190702PD205.html
2. Highlights of the day: Semiconductor inventory piling up: https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20190626VL202.html
3. Chipmakers likely to post disappointing 2H19 results: https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20190702PD203.html
This was for long talked about by economists in the "Big Semi," and I tend to trust those guys. The semiconductor industry employs very serious economists.