Re:A Growing Problem in Real Estate: Too Many Too Big Houses
by thorwasdfasdf on Thursday June 20, 2019 @04:12PM
(#20236851)
The very long term house/condo appreciation will always match incomes. Don't expect SF real estate to appreciate the way it has in the last 40 years.
According to Trulia[1] the median sale price for two-bedroom homes increased from $1.010M five years ago to $1.407M today, which corresponds to an annual return of about 6.8%. Assuming that trend continues, the actual spread would be more like -4.3% for ownership (2.5% cost minus 6.8% appreciation) vs. 3% for renting, or 7.3% altogether in favor of ownership. You'd only come out ahead by renting if you can find an investment returning more than 7.3% per year.
[1] https://www.trulia.com/real_estate/San_Francisco-California/...