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Re:Map of the World's Nuclear Power Plants by epistasis on Friday June 14, 2019 @11:52AM (#20183967)
Your plot is missing one key thing: are projects plotted at their start or date. In either case, I think that it looks like the delays started pre-TMI.

Other plots that I have seen show new additions slowing long before TMI.

Each pre-TMI project was managed with a different level of skill, or with better rolls of the dice on timing, and those that completed quickly were profitable, and the those that had long delays had huge cost overruns due to massive capital outlays and interest payments without any revenue to back it.

And another reason that I don't think we can blame regulation: look at Vogtle and Summer. You have to dig really really really far into backwaters of blogs before you can even find somebody saying "this regulatory process caused us to be delayed," and even those complaints are vague.

It's not regulation, it's the industry.

We can look elsewhere in different regulatory environments too: UK, France, Poland, all have the same huge difficulties we do when constructing nuclear. The places that seem to have fewer difficulties still have difficulties. China has long delays, that would still cause investors to lose money in the US. South Korea had been on a tear of seemingly good construction, but it turns out that the contracting process was rife with corruption and now there are worries that unqualified parts are stuck deep in reactors that are supposed to run for 60 years.

If there is a regulatory delay on these projects, I'm not sure that there's any sort of appropriate regulatory structure that would make them work. And you can tell because the industry insiders that complain about regulation don't have any fixes in mind.

Re:Map of the World's Nuclear Power Plants by stevetodd on Friday June 14, 2019 @12:43PM (#20184383)
They’ve been trying to get started on one in Utah, though it’s been hung up a few years in court with environmentalists fighting about the water usage.

See “Public Reaction” in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Castle_Project

Re:Map of the World's Nuclear Power Plants by cameldrv on Friday June 14, 2019 @12:10PM (#20184123)
It's complex construction projects in general. Regulation is a significant piece. We have a lot more worker safety, public safety, and environmental regulations. On the other hand, we also have loads more construction technology.

One thing no one ever talks about is environmental lead exposure. Just like it appears to have caused a huge crime spike, by impairing executive function, I think it may have impaired society's ability to manage complex projects.