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Re:High-Tech can’t last: there are limited essential elements by pjc50 on Wednesday June 12, 2019 @06:31AM (#20163239)
"Shortfall of dysprosium are expected before 2015." - so how's that going? I don't see news reports of DYSPROSIUM CRISIS. I did find one on a new mine opening in Australia.

Articles like this belong in a "manufactured crisis" category. Very little in it is false per se, but the overall impression it creates is misleading, and is likely to be driven by either nationalism trying to upsell conflict with China, or miners trying to sell investments outside of China that are currently uncompetitive.

Re:High-Tech can’t last: there are limited essential elements by voqv on Wednesday June 12, 2019 @06:40AM (#20163271)
Same author in 2012: "Batteries are too heavy to ever be used by trucks or other large vehicles, and require a revolutionary breakthrough to power electric cars." And China now [https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-14/china-is-...]

Still, even the thought of a collapse for chips is scary. I wonder if we can at least fallback to 80-s chips production in case of a supply chain collapse.

Re:High-Tech can’t last: there are limited essential elements by pjc50 on Wednesday June 12, 2019 @08:17AM (#20163747)
Chip shortages happen every now and again. I remember at least two due to shortages of a particular kind of epoxy resin:

2011 https://www.eetimes.com/document.asp?doc_id=1258963 " "This is an unfortunate coincidence where 90-100 percent of the world's supply of bismaleimide triazine is made in northeastern Japan,"

1993 https://apnews.com/8fe2925b68d34d33f19a53e4892c74a2 "epoxy resin has been the talk of the computer chip business for the past month after an explosion destroyed a Japanese factory that made 60 percent of the world’s supply."

> if we can at least fallback to 80-s chips production in case of a supply chain collapse.

Not literally, most of the 80s US chip manufacturing sites are Superfund sites now.

Re:High-Tech can’t last: there are limited essential elements by Tade0 on Wednesday June 12, 2019 @07:20AM (#20163438)
There's something better on the horizon:

https://www.sciencealert.com/vintage-vacuum-tube-tech-could-...

Also regular vacuum tubes are still pretty competent for power applications.

Making a switching power supply might be a challenge though - we would have to return to using Thyratrons which contain mercury vapour.

Re:High-Tech can’t last: there are limited essential elements by pjc50 on Wednesday June 12, 2019 @08:18AM (#20163759)
The nanoscale vacuum transistor is still a silicon device - part of the point of it is that it can be produced in a conventional fab!

Power diodes are not going to be a problem, they are a comparatively crude device from the 50s.

Re:High-Tech can’t last: there are limited essential elements by diydsp on Wednesday June 12, 2019 @07:03AM (#20163362)