> Other people's current predictions on this are all over the place and seem more dependent on what each author would prefer than neccessarily any reality.

Expectations of Fed rate hikes and cuts are reflected in the fed funds futures market, where participants estimate future values of the fed funds rate. Currently, the market implies a 94% chance of at least one rate cut by December [0].

[0] https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to...