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A comment on 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity. Parent comment

Re:10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury... by cs702 on Sunday June 02, 2019 @03:26PM (#20077459)
Yes...and therefore, this recent yield inversion may not be related to growing risk of recession in the US. Maybe it is, maybe it isn't. I don't know. That's why I'm leery of predictions made based solely on the inversion of yields. Things are different this time.

That's my point :-)

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Re:10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury... by nickles on Sunday June 02, 2019 @03:33PM (#20077519)
> this recent yield inversion may not be related to growing risk of recession in the US

It's been a reliable signal in the past, but perhaps this time is different.

Interestingly, some economists postulate that such an inversion may be somewhat causative of recession, due to increased short term funding costs relative to long term funding costs.

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Re:10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury... by cs702 on Sunday June 02, 2019 @03:42PM (#20077574)
> It's been a reliable signal in the past, but perhaps this time is different.

Yes, we're in agreement :-)

> Interestingly, some economists postulate that such an inversion may be somewhat causative of recession...

That could be true... I don't know.

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