That's what I was trying to differentiate in looking at the list...the impact of zeitgeist relative to the butterfly effect. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterfly_effect

In other words, it is likely that Dole [had he won the Republican nomination] would have defeated Dukakis as readily as Bush did in 1988, or that Carry Grant could have starred in The African Queen.

On the other hand, the specifics of Smith's personality and circumstances are hard to separate from the movement he spawned.