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Re:Ford CEO says the company 'overestimated' self-driving cars by tyree731 on Thursday April 11, 2019 @11:32AM (#19635591)
On the contrary, humans are keen on extrapolating "linearly", ignoring that progress is discrete, and that the next discrete step isn't on any guaranteed timeline. See: humanity's idea of the next twenty years of space exploration in 1970.
Re:Ford CEO says the company 'overestimated' self-driving cars by misthop on Thursday April 11, 2019 @12:50PM (#19636529)
Humanity's ideas of space travel 1970-1990 were right on, assuming US government investment had remained the same (4.4% in 1966, <= 1.01% since 1975) https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2010/feb/01/nasa-b...