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Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by jcranmer on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @10:12AM (#19614818)
You said "do these calculations take into account energy equivalent of running all the armies in the world, funding their wars and conflicts?"

That's not "at least some chunk", that's the entire cost that you're trying to wedge in there.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by keymone on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @10:58AM (#19615319)
ok, feel free to only include partial cost. how does that change my point?
Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by jcranmer on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @04:20PM (#19618554)
In my opinion, the fraction of the cost of the army that goes to preserving fiat is somewhere in the region of 0%.

What maintains the value of fiat is not government coercive action (e.g., having an army that forces people to use currency). Instead, the value is dictated by how much the populace believes it is worth. So it's the general government actions to maintain the health of the economy, and none of that would disappear if the government were to decide not to use fiat.

Indeed, to the extent that you'd compare how much the government spends in a hypothetical world where it doesn't use fiat currency versus one that it does, it probably takes more resources in the first case (i.e., fiat currency is a net asset to the government, not a net cost).

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by village-idiot on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @11:27AM (#19615608)
The premise of “no fiat, less war” is just asserted without any proof, and is actually quite ahistorical.
Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by andirk on Wednesday April 10, 2019 @05:03PM (#19628761)
I love the idea of "no fiat, less war". I also love the idea of "less war". I don't believe war is a natural human occurrence but instead usually done for gaining fiat. However, I do believe that trading is quite natural and our current fiat implementation often simplifies trade. So maybe a borderless fiat simplifies it even more.
Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by village-idiot on Saturday April 13, 2019 @10:09PM (#19657116)
Good luck explaining Rome then. No fiat, lots and lots of war.
Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by keymone on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @12:03PM (#19616047)
i never said nor implied "no fiat, less war".
Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by village-idiot on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @12:14PM (#19616174)
Now you’re just dodging the question. Prove your assertion that a country on bitcoin would need a smaller army. I’ll wait.

Edit: saying that the economy would be deflationary and thus couldn’t afford a large army would be a hilarious way to go.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by keymone on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @12:32PM (#19616394)
fiat's value is, at least partially, backed by an army that can defend/assert it. not having fiat eliminates the need for as much army.
Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by village-idiot on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @02:29PM (#19617621)
There’s two issues here.

First, the logic doesn’t work. Let “has fiat currency” be A, and “has a large army” be B. You’re asserting “If A then B; therefore if not A then not B”. This is a formal logic error called “denying the antecedent”, which means the argument is invalid.

(You also don’t support A well, but that’s a side point because your logical assertion doesn’t work).

Second, there are plenty of examples of rich fiat countries with small armies (Switzerland, 0.7% GDP defense spending) and non-fiat countries with massive army expenditures (Roman Empire, harder to calculate due to history and lower productivity, but at least 2.5% GDP and 80% of the entire government budget). The presence of both indicates that the form of currency a country uses is secondary to other intangible aspects when it comes to the formation and maintenance of large armies.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by keymone on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @02:46PM (#19617785)
> Let “has fiat currency” be A, and “has a large army” be B. You’re asserting “If A then B; therefore if not A then not B”.

those are incorrect presumptions and therefore incorrect conclusion. A is "has fiat currency", B is "needs an army or other means to maintain fiat value".

of course army is not the only thing, but it's one of the things in many of the countries. whatever other things other countries have to assert fiat value - those too consume some energy-equivalent of resources. army is just the most obvious and easy to understand example.

and yes, there are also feedback loops, there is no strict causal relationship between the components of this system, which is yet another reason why you can't make these energy consumption comparisons without being intellectually dishonest.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by jcranmer on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @04:24PM (#19618592)
> yet another reason why you can't make these energy consumption comparisons without being intellectually dishonest.

The intellectually dishonest part is trying to shove as many extra costs onto the fiat currency side of the equation without counting them for cryptocurrency.

Comparing the energy cost per transaction is a simple, pairwise comparison. Even if all the world used bitcoin for currency, there is no reason to expect that things like banks, armies, and the entire financial ecosystem wouldn't also exist. Trying to make fiat currency account for all the latter costs is just trying to mask the fact that bitcoin is by design inefficient.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by keymone on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @04:58PM (#19618868)
> The intellectually dishonest part is trying to shove as many extra costs onto the fiat currency side of the equation without counting them for cryptocurrency

let's meet in the middle then? i don't shove as much as possible but you shove enough for comparison to be honest.

> Comparing the energy cost per transaction is a simple, pairwise comparison

it's simple and wrong. energy-efficient transactions isn't bitcoin's goal. this has already been mentioned, i suggest you re-read the thread.

> there is no reason to expect that things like banks, armies, and the entire financial ecosystem wouldn't also exist

who's expecting that? i'm honestly amazed by amount of strawman-ing happening in this discussion. didn't expect that on HN.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by village-idiot on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @04:22PM (#19618573)
You can change the definition of B all you want, it's still a formal fallacy, meaning the argument is literally worthless. You have to structure a very different argument from what you've shown to assert that bitcoin would reduce national military expenditures, not just tweak the details.
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Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by village-idiot on Wednesday April 10, 2019 @02:40PM (#19627559)
> it's not about definition of A and B, it's about structure of the sentence

I agree! And the structure of the argument is fundamentally invalid.

> there is no need to do this dance of yours with logic and fallacies

... Oh, I guess we don't agree.

> it's really a truism

"I don't have an argument, but I believe it very strongly".

> you are trying to confuse people and/or push some agenda

Accusing those who disagree with you of pushing an "agenda" is both a bad argument and bad etiquette. Stop.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by keymone on Wednesday April 10, 2019 @05:41PM (#19629084)
> Accusing those who disagree with you

but you don't just disagree, you make convoluted invalid arguments. there is no logical fallacy in

> if maintaining fiat value requires spending resources then not having to maintain fiat value means there is no need to spend resources to maintain fiat value

it's indeed a case of:

> "I don't have an argument, but I believe it very strongly".

but on your part.

Re:China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining by jcranmer on Tuesday April 09, 2019 @04:11PM (#19618481)
Explain the value of the Somali shilling, then.