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Re:Gene Therapy Was Hailed as a Revolution – Then Came the Bill by cf on Monday April 08, 2019 @05:03AM (#19603440)
Not to be too snarky but to the question in the article, “The question for health systems: how much are one-time therapies worth?”, you mean like vaccines? Presumably, it should cost a similar amount.
Re:Gene Therapy Was Hailed as a Revolution – Then Came the Bill by dalbasal on Monday April 08, 2019 @06:13AM (#19603780)
Good analogy.

To the article's point, there is currently a dynamic where long term/chronic prescriptions such as anti-depression drugs "win out" relative to antibiotics & vaccines, which have the same pricing issue. It's mitigated by the large out-of-patent portfolio and (especially for vaccines) the large potential volume, but the problem is there.

To some extent, this is a problem economist don't like. The pricing system shouldn't matter too much. If X has Y value and A cost, those (alongside competition, which should be driving price to A)... If the value/efficacy is identical, those are supposed to be the main determinates of price.

Non-academic pricers understand that these pricing paradigms are big determinates though, in practice. Membership vs pay-as-you-go. Software & updates vs SAAS. These change demand & pricing dynamics enormously.

A one-time pill, with measured effectiveness against depression on par with one-a-day alternatives is very unlikely to make as much money, in practice... blackboard reasoning be damned.

Re:Gene Therapy Was Hailed as a Revolution – Then Came the Bill by celinehh94 on Monday April 08, 2019 @09:54AM (#19605189)
Vaccines are actually super unprofitable for Pharma companies, so this isn't a great model to emulate (although I agree with the general metaphor of gene therapy -> vaccines)

https://www.nber.org/papers/w9833

Re:Gene Therapy Was Hailed as a Revolution – Then Came the Bill by refurb on Monday April 08, 2019 @10:53AM (#19605735)
Pricing it like a vaccine entirely ignores the number of patients treated. Unlike vaccines, you'd never give gene therapy to most of the population. It all likelihood, you give gene therapy to a few thousand patients.

Hard to even break even if you're charging $100 and treating 2000 patients.