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Re:Second-Order Thinking: What Smart People Use to Outperfor... by blattimwind on Thursday April 04, 2019 @08:06PM (#19578378)
> The ability to think through problems to the second, third, and nth order—or what we will call second-order thinking for short—is a powerful tool that supercharges your thinking.

Clearly it should be called higher-order thinking.

Re:Second-Order Thinking: What Smart People Use to Outperfor... by ausd123 on Thursday April 04, 2019 @08:20PM (#19578454)
This is already a similar concept -

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Higher-order_thinking

I would be quite happy to see these kinds of concepts rolled into one.

Looking back, most times I heard "higher order thinking" at school, I feel like they meant "thinking at a higher level of abstraction" (as I would describe it now).

You could make an argument that the kind of "nth derivative thinking" identified here is similar though.

Re:Second-Order Thinking: What Smart People Use to Outperfor... by FakeComments on Thursday April 04, 2019 @10:32PM (#19579141)
As an interesting aside, the n-th partial derivatives form an n-cube:

For m variables, there are m first orders, m^2 second orders, etc. and most proofs about, eg convexity, amount to a proof over that shape.

The reason that n-th order reasoning about an m-dimensional problem is difficult is that it requires reasoning using m^n objects.

If you figure we can remember about ten things intuitively, that’s just enough for three dimensions and two derivatives — enough to do motion analysis.

But it’s leagues away from being able to do the second order of a ten-dimensional problem intuitively.

Re:Second-Order Thinking: What Smart People Use to Outperfor... by ilaksh on Thursday April 04, 2019 @09:24PM (#19578809)
Just "planning" seems adequate to me.
Re:Second-Order Thinking: What Smart People Use to Outperfor... by whatshisface on Thursday April 04, 2019 @10:10PM (#19579033)
If the author called it planning then everyone would realize that they had already heard of it...

People might also realize that with every additional step of reasoning the chance that you got it right decays exponentially.

Re:Second-Order Thinking: What Smart People Use to Outperfor... by mStreamTeam on Friday April 05, 2019 @01:17AM (#19579915)
That's why people make multiple plans and backup plans
Re:Second-Order Thinking: What Smart People Use to Outperfor... by karmakaze on Friday April 05, 2019 @06:40AM (#19581273)
Plans for the most part execute the 'happy path'. That's wny everything's late and over-budget. Contingincy planning captures 2nd order and that's about as deep as it ever goes.