Re:Ethiopian Airlines 737 MAX Investigation Preliminary Report
by zaroth on Thursday April 04, 2019 @06:30PM
(#19577740)
My predictions?
- Boeing will lose 10s of billions of dollars because of this in damages, lost contracts, and redesign costs.
- Their CEO will resign.
- The FAA will revamp many procedures to vastly increase certification costs and not allow these types of same-class-rating bullshit.
- The FAA or similar EU agencies may slap some fine against Boeing
- The families will sue and win a large settlement.
- One or more engineers may commit suicide. (which would be itself tragic)
- Middle management will pay zero or nearly zero price.
- No one will be internally fired by Boeing as the problem is systemic.
- No criminal charges.
Many of these things will only happen with a sustains public relations compaign against Boeing, congressional hearings, persistent news articles, documentaries highlighting the harrowing crash, etc.
EDIT: I’d say there’s a small chance even that a system called MCAS never flies again, even if that means the entire MAX concept has to be shelved.
If the MAX can fly without MCAS but just under a new type rating, that could be the way they go. Boeing simply has not been successful introducing computer-moderated flight controls and envelopes the way that Airbus has over the last decade (and those lessons were hard learned too).
- Boeing will lose 10s of billions of dollars because of this in damages, lost contracts, and redesign costs.
- Their CEO will resign.
- The FAA will revamp many procedures to vastly increase certification costs and not allow these types of same-class-rating bullshit.
- The FAA or similar EU agencies may slap some fine against Boeing
- The families will sue and win a large settlement.
- One or more engineers may commit suicide. (which would be itself tragic)
- Middle management will pay zero or nearly zero price.
- No one will be internally fired by Boeing as the problem is systemic.
- No criminal charges.
Many of these things will only happen with a sustains public relations compaign against Boeing, congressional hearings, persistent news articles, documentaries highlighting the harrowing crash, etc.
EDIT: I’d say there’s a small chance even that a system called MCAS never flies again, even if that means the entire MAX concept has to be shelved.
If the MAX can fly without MCAS but just under a new type rating, that could be the way they go. Boeing simply has not been successful introducing computer-moderated flight controls and envelopes the way that Airbus has over the last decade (and those lessons were hard learned too).