Re:Yield Curve Is More Inverted Than at This Point in Run-Up...
by rossdavidh on Tuesday March 26, 2019 @11:02AM
(#19492456)
For example, paying down debt would be a good idea. [sound of numerous economists jumping up and down saying this would turn prediction of recession into self-fulfilling prophecy] Also, holding off on any major new purchases like houses or new cars. [sound of foresaid economists moaning and putting their heads in their hands in despair]
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Re:Yield Curve Is More Inverted Than at This Point in Run-Up...
by qzw on Tuesday March 26, 2019 @12:50PM
(#19493564)
It really depends on the type of debt. Don't pay down your mortgage by $10k. It will probably do nothing to lower your monthly payments. Do reduce high-interest credit card debt if possible. If you don't have high interest debt, save the money in cash or cash equivalents. High yield savings accounts are paying 2.5%. Also, do everything you can to increase your liquidity and access to liquidity. Maybe open a home equity line of credit, but don't dare spend from it! In a recession, liquidity is king. During the Great Recession, Leman Bros. went under due to illiquidity more than anything else. Whereas Warren Buffet made a killing because he could come up with cash when hardly anybody else could or would. The same principle applies to economic entities of any size.
Re:Yield Curve Is More Inverted Than at This Point in Run-Up...
by conanbatt on Tuesday March 26, 2019 @11:52AM
(#19492938)
> For example, paying down debt would be a good idea.
Opposite from a financial standpoint: if interests rates lower in the future you will be able to refinance.
From a job-vulnerability perspective it always lowers your risk though: better not to be very leveraged if your income can fluctuate.