Re:Show HN: A social platform to record and debate predictio...
by Emma_Goldman on Sunday March 24, 2019 @09:21AM
(#19476186)
The problem with this is that predictions should, ideally, be clearly specified, offer a percentage estimate (0-100% likelihood), and have some reliable method of validating the outcome.
This website, on the other hand, seems to encourage none of these epistemic virtues. It's people making more or less precise verbal predictions on twitter and then assessing themselves.
The Good Judgement Project does all these things: https://www.gjopen.com/
This website, on the other hand, seems to encourage none of these epistemic virtues. It's people making more or less precise verbal predictions on twitter and then assessing themselves.