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Re:Show HN: Applying Machine Learning to March Madness by dagw on Monday March 18, 2019 @08:41AM (#19420547)
So even in the best case you list (which I share your skepticism of), you are 1,000x more likely to win the MegaMillions or Powerball jackpot than pick the perfect winning grid.

That makes me wonder what odds you'd get at the bookmakers for a perfect winning grid.

Re:Show HN: Applying Machine Learning to March Madness by jsjohnst on Monday March 18, 2019 @07:55PM (#19426592)
I think I remember seeing a prize somewhere of an obscene amount of money (memory is hazy, but was something like over $100M, maybe even a billion) for a perfect winning grid.

Edit: it was a billion.

https://genius.com/Warren-buffett-billion-dollar-march-madne...

Re:Show HN: Applying Machine Learning to March Madness by dagw on Tuesday March 19, 2019 @05:24AM (#19429255)
Well since submission is free that bet has a positive expected value! Much better than the lottery.