Here there was a proposal to do a couple hundred units of entry level apartments and people shit their pants about it. It was about a quarter mile from the already poorest part of the county and people actually went to the planning commission and said stuff about not wanting the poors around there. One landlord basically argued he didn't want the competition.
In the end the state subsidies fell through anyway.
I think it's fair to say in a democracy most politicians are motivated by money or votes. There are plenty of people who probably see this as working in their favor.
> 1) fewer new homes will be constructed
Next usually comes the affordable housing bond because you're right, the private sector won't see it as a good investment.
Economic analysis that does not take these factors into account is not worth very much. It also fails to offer any useful solution for the underlying problem of rents rising faster than incomes.
And constrained by how the government allows that land to be used.
The lending market is designed to encourage spending and making higher offers. It brings new people into the housing market faster than they should be entering.
The tax breaks around owning a home encourage you to live there for 3 out of the last five years. There are also realtor fees that discourage you from selling. This, along with housing values appreciating discourages people from selling. When my home is appreciating in value, it makes it more attractive to buy as an investment or rent it out while I buy a new house.
If you encourage people to buy and discourage them from selling, you're going to get a high demand / low supply situation pretty quickly.
If you eliminate the tax breaks and reduce lending, you'd have a pretty balanced market.
But who wants to be the politician responsible for slowing home value appreciation?
In a market economy, which includes both housing construction and home rentals, price is the signal by which demand is measured. Rent control either eliminates or severely distorts that signal.
I’m going to predict that:1) fewer new homes will be constructed and 2) rents will sky rocket where it’s possible (tenant turnover).