Re:Forecasting in Python with Prophet
by pplonski86 on Friday February 22, 2019 @03:36PM
(#19228889)
It should be useful for forecasting subscription revenue. I can help you with this for free! I'm building autoML solution and this is interesting use case for me. Please email me if you want help on this
Say you have multiple product lines like iOS-1month, iOS-1year, iOS-1year-premium, Android-1month, web-5years, etc. And you have historical numbers for new users and retention for each product line.
I looked at using Prophet for this, but instead I made a giant spreadsheet and modeled my assumptions around seasonality, retention, and new user growth. I wasn't totally sure, but it seemed like Prophet wasn't intended for my use case, where my assumptions can be stated very explicitly, and I want to twiddle the knobs to look at various scenarios.