HTML5, Flash and Silverlight. Which one is dead?

Re:HTML5, Flash and Silverlight. Which one is dead? by extension on Monday November 15, 2010 @11:42AM (#1906873)

It is a huge waste to build a such large piece of software on a platform with so little life remaining and that is already so crippled. That 75% install base is only going to go down and already the coolest people and devices can't use your app.

If you're going to make something as progressive as a web-based DAW, make sure it has a future, even if it's not quite ready for the present.

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Re:HTML5, Flash and Silverlight. Which one is dead? by gabrielroth on Monday November 15, 2010 @12:09PM (#1906994)

This. Skate to where the puck is going to be—especially if you're making something cool and ambitious. Take your best guess as to what the installed base for Flash, Silverlight and HTML5 will look like in two years. Two years! An eyeblink!

I think the word 'dead' can be confusing, because the hackery meaning differs from the ordinary meaning so much. None of those technologies is 'dead' in the sense of 'defunct.' But 'dead' meaning 'on a road whose only endpoint is obsolescence'—I'm gonna say Silverlight and Flash are dead.

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Re:HTML5, Flash and Silverlight. Which one is dead? by OmniBus on Monday November 15, 2010 @09:06PM (#1908767)

Every software will be obsoleted eventually. Software will evolve into another piece. But it is long time to go.

Full Standard implemented by vendors takes exceptional long time. It is very frustrating. Developers have to deal with numerous compatibility issues. So it is too early to say either Silverlight or Flash is dead.

Even if there is a mature JavaScript library and framework that comparable to existing Silverlight and Flash. It still takes long time to change. Companies and developers investing heavily on one technology will not adapt new technology very soon, considering that large base of existing software, human talents relies on that technology.

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