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Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by partiallypro on Friday February 01, 2019 @05:21PM (#19059335)
I do wonder what is going to happen when/if there is more margin compression in the cloud space. Specifically when it comes to Amazon, because Amazon really has razor thin margins in its retail sector. Other cloud providers have high profit margins outside of the cloud (Google, Microsoft, Apple) so they could still be ok. They all have so much pricing power too, that I wonder if there is some mutually assured destruction of margin that prevents them all from competing heavily on price. Or if the space is growing so fast that they simply don't need to compete on price as much.
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by marcosdumay on Friday February 01, 2019 @05:50PM (#19059539)
Amazon has people locked into Lambda, Google and Apple have people locked into device integration, and Microsoft has people locked into Office and in a short while Github CI integration.

All three are trying to differentiate more and more (with varying degrees of success) while they increase the price of the commodity services so it doesn't compete with the differentiated ones. They will not compete on price with each other.

I just don't know what will happen if somebody plays an Amazon at the commodity segment, and go selling services with thin margins.

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by crowdpleaser on Friday February 01, 2019 @06:07PM (#19059672)
I've always wondered if FB could get into the cloud game, it seems like they might have some data center expertise.

However, your comment has me thinking that FB doesn't have a way to lock people to their cloud - they'd be forced to compete on price more than any other major cloud provider. Probably not a great business.

But is Apple a cloud provider? I recall they have some data centers but I thought that it was rumored they used Google Cloud or AWS (or both) too.

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by busterarm on Friday February 01, 2019 @06:59PM (#19059964)
Internally, Facebook has always struggled with infrastructure capacity throughout their history. They still have growing pains as far as physical space for equipment goes.

When Amazon got into the cloud business, they actually had most all of the non-software challenges solved already. It turns out that datacenters and distribution centers go in the same kinds of places and have very similar kinds of challenges. They benefited significantly from knock-on effects from running their existing business.

If Facebook got into the cloud game, they would have to learn two new businesses at once: cloud hosting and industrial real estate.

I don't think that they would be able to obtain good pricing on either real estate or server hardware. Their current hardware vendor can't absorb that large of a scale out.

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by deanCommie on Saturday February 02, 2019 @01:31AM (#19061512)
> When Amazon got into the cloud business, they actually had most all of the non-software challenges solved already. It turns out that datacenters and distribution centers go in the same kinds of places and have very similar kinds of challenges. They benefited significantly from knock-on effects from running their existing business.

That sounds good in a blurb in CIO Magazine but is likely completely disconnected from reality.

The complexity of building a cloud provider is not primarily in the physical management of physical assets in a big box building.

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by busterarm on Saturday February 02, 2019 @02:14AM (#19061641)
Having worked in several industries before landing in software development, I can tell you that the most common form of hubris we have as an industry is in thinking that our domain is where the hardest problems live. Or in thinking that the level of difficulty of our challenges has a 1:1 correlation with those of the business.

Building data centers is hard because there are not a lot of places that you can build them effectively. Large scale, specialty real estate deals are the kind of thing that effect a company's financials in a big way and for a long time -- much longer than the market cycles where you determine whether or not to continue or abandon your hypothetical, nascent cloud offering service -- and are exactly the type of thing that market investors will pillory your company for if you fuck up.

If you're Amazon and you're starting off in the datacenter game and it doesn't go well, you can always transition the property into a distribution center. Those are useful to you anyway.

If you're Facebook, what are you going to do? Who are you going to sell this $800-1200/sq ft (that is the cost of building a turnkey DC and puts AMZN's largest datacenter somewhere between 172-258mil and that's just one of them) "big box" to? They should make a multi-billion dollar investment for that and hire a global enterprise sales organization on top of that to sell it?

Maybe it's not so much that what CIOs say is divorced from reality but that they see reality at a scale that you don't. Their abstractions may not make sense to you.

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by roymurdock on Saturday February 02, 2019 @12:46AM (#19061359)
microsoft did it pretty easily, albeit 4 years later than amazon, which is partially why they're playing catch up. microsoft didn't have any "industrial warehouse buying" expertise and was a lot more familiar with server tech than amazon was at the time they started aws in 2006, and probably had a good number of data centers already, they just weren't built for rental services.

although it's outside facebooks current core competency i think they wouldn't have too many issues getting into the cloud game if they wanted to. they could hire all the expertise they need and get 100 data centers up and running in 5 years.

but why would they? it's like google getting into the ISP market to compete with verizon et al. google runs its very profitable business on top of the commodity rails and keeps limited deployments of google fiber as a stick to threaten slow or uncooperative ISPs. facebook can run its profitable software based businesses on top of the infrastructure instead of joining the cutthroat race to the bottom of cloud computing that may or may not be semi nationalized/regulated as ISPs and utilities are today

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by busterarm on Saturday February 02, 2019 @02:34AM (#19061709)
Microsoft did it pretty easily because they have the financial flexibility to make a multi-billion dollar investment and already have a global enterprise sales and support organization with a 20 year head start on the competition.

Facebook can't say the same and getting 100 datacenters up and running would cost them 25 billion before hiring anyone -- that's more than half of their cash.

I agree with you though that it makes zero sense for Facebook to do this.

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by ham_sandwich on Friday February 01, 2019 @07:37PM (#19060157)
Another consideration is that FB would have to reorient their culture to sell to and service the enterprise customer. You could argue that Google is having that very problem with their cloud offering. Despite having superior engineering and product, it’s just not in their DNA to cater to the enterprise in the same way it is for Amazon and Microsoft. FB might have considered cloud a few years ago, but I think they wisely stayed out to focus on their core offerings.
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by busterarm on Saturday February 02, 2019 @02:28AM (#19061682)
Is Google cloud a superior product with superior engineering?

As an enterprise customer of all three, I will tell you that both Google and Microsoft have terrible UI, terrible permissions sets and terrible documentation. Microsoft has terrible policies and support but their interface still edged out Google. Google constantly shutting off APIs and forcing people to refactor isn't doing them any favors either.

IAM and the documentation are AWS' secret sauce. It's the thing that wins over those internal champions/coaches that an enterprise sales organization needs at their prospect companies to close large scale deals. In an environment where I have to manage security, compliance and administration on top of just using the thing, it makes my job 1000x easier.

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by roneythomas6 on Friday February 01, 2019 @07:30PM (#19060118)
They pursued that for a short while when they had self doubts in their ad business. This resulted in them buying Parse. Only later to find out their ad business is solid and shutting down parse.
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by mandeepj on Friday February 01, 2019 @08:08PM (#19060283)
> FB could get into the cloud game

They tried that with Parse acquisition but shut it down

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by redisman on Friday February 01, 2019 @07:58PM (#19060231)
I don't think Lambda-lock-in is nearly as powerful or widespread as OS/device. Most frameworks these days are container independent.
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by tootie on Saturday February 02, 2019 @04:09PM (#19065728)
Microsoft also has Active Directory and Visual Studio.
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by PopeDotNinja on Friday February 01, 2019 @05:56PM (#19059592)
> Specifically when it comes to Amazon, because Amazon really has razor thin margins in its retail sector

What do you consider thin margins? Their overall margins are better than Walmart's.

Amazon: 65_932_000 / 177_866_000 = 37% [1]

Walmart: 126_947_000 / 500_343_000 = 25% [2]

[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/financials?p=AMZN

[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WMT/financials?p=WMT

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by mcrae on Friday February 01, 2019 @07:25PM (#19060096)
Just looking at Q4 results [0], looks like operating margins for the businesses are:

US Retail: 5% [$2,251 / $44,124] Intl Retail: -3% [-$642 / $20,849] AWS: 29% [$2,177 / $7,430]

Really striking diff between Retail and AWS biz.

Walmart, for what its worth, had operating income of $20B on $500B in revenue, so about 5% there too.

[0] https://ir.aboutamazon.com/static-files/a5035fcd-5646-45df-b...

Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by altmind on Friday February 01, 2019 @06:21PM (#19059751)
Operating margin is not Gross Profit/Total Revenue, its Operating Profit/Total Revenue. You were not surprised by the number 37% you got?
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by greedo on Friday February 01, 2019 @06:18PM (#19059729)
That's the gross margins for ALL of Amazon's business, so the fat profits of cloud are included. Their margin on physical goods must be lower.
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by mhermher on Friday February 01, 2019 @05:54PM (#19059575)
Apple? Did I miss something?
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by bigdubs on Friday February 01, 2019 @05:26PM (#19059364)
They double and triple dip customers pretty hard today, I'd imagine margin lost on basic services like EC2 would shift to AWS specific services they can layer more costs on top of (i.e. RDS)
Re:AWS Drives More Than Half of Amazon's Operating Income by tanilama on Friday February 01, 2019 @06:14PM (#19059705)
> Amazon really has razor thin margins in its retail sector

Not any more, if their advertising business keeps skyrocketing, Amazon will be US's Alibaba.