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Re:Why Do Rich People Love Endurance Sports? (2017) by ad_hominem on Tuesday January 29, 2019 @09:00AM (#19026290)
> it may be true that most criminals in an area are of a certain race; that says nothing about the likelihood of a single person of that race being a criminal

Huh? If 10% of purple people in an area have been incarcerated, and you select one individual from the purple people population of that area at random, the odds are 10% the individual you selected will have been incarcerated. That's fundamental to how sampling works.

Re:Why Do Rich People Love Endurance Sports? (2017) by schrodinger on Tuesday January 29, 2019 @09:41AM (#19026640)
The situation isn’t that 10% of purple have been incarcerated; if it was, you’d be correct.

Instead, the situation is that 90% of those incarcerated are purple. You can’t draw any meaningful conclusions from that without knowing the number that you were referring to: what percentage of purple people that makes up.

Re:Why Do Rich People Love Endurance Sports? (2017) by imgabe on Tuesday January 29, 2019 @09:48AM (#19026691)
You are flipping around the percentages. Parent says "10% of incarcerated people are purple". This does not imply that "10% of purple people are incarcerated".
Re:Why Do Rich People Love Endurance Sports? (2017) by tnzn on Tuesday January 29, 2019 @09:20AM (#19026437)
Except that's not what happens.
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Re:Why Do Rich People Love Endurance Sports? (2017) by ralusek on Tuesday January 29, 2019 @01:52PM (#19028885)
The logic is fine, it's just not an analogous example.
Re:Why Do Rich People Love Endurance Sports? (2017) by fludlight on Tuesday January 29, 2019 @09:50AM (#19026709)
Random sampling doesn't work well with small sample sizes.