Re:Bill Gates promises to add his own billions if Congress d...
by darkerside on Sunday January 27, 2019 @05:03PM
(#19014042)
Basing decisions on known ignorance is not crazy. In fact, I'd call it appropriate humility. It's just that the smart decision is more likely to be a "not yet / need more information" than a flat no.
Basing decisions on limited understandings is also not crazy. I've heard the rough US Army guideline is to act when you have 70% of the information. If you wait too long, there's often no right answer.
Anyway, my whole point is probably one level meta from what you're talking about. I find many disagreements turn out to be simply two different simultaneous discussions.
The only thing we don't know well is how much improvement current technology brings. We have an idea, but there are probably flaws on our estimative.
I don't think nuclear will help, mostly because it's too late. But basing decisions on ignorance is crazy.