Re:Hitman Runner Mark Fellows Convicted of Murder on GPS Wat...
by listenallyall on Sunday January 20, 2019 @07:55AM
(#18952819)
This line of thinking is rather dangerous when determining whether to lock someone up for life. Especially in the absence of direct evidence. The math is often tricky, given that we already know some highly unlikely things have in fact occurred (a murder, for one).
For instance:
Each of those by itself means next to nothing; you can't go around arresting anybody with blonde hair because there are millions of people with hair like that. But if you find somebody who fits all four, they are almost certainly your guy. The chance of there being two acquaintances of the victim with blonde hair and a blue jacket in the neighborhood at the time of the murder is much smaller than the chance of a false positive on any one of those individual conditions.With enough circumstantial evidence, you can blow right past "reasonable doubt".