Re:The math’s not pretty on digital advertising’s future rev...
by hedora on Saturday December 29, 2018 @06:03PM
(#18786229)
Holding cash is a “fall eventually” bet.
It has negative payoff after inflation, which is worse than other low to zero risk options (like savings accounts and govt bonds).
In one view, and with long return horizons, an index-based etf is a “will be around forever bet”, in that it bets there will be economic growth on average for as long as the dollar is worth anything. The main way it can go wrong is with hyper inflation.
Maybe going long, with 100% govt bonds is a decent fall eventually bet, but again, that’s targeting a very specific scenario where all of the economy crashes for a long time, but bonds still pay out (better than real estate or other physical goods).
It has negative payoff after inflation, which is worse than other low to zero risk options (like savings accounts and govt bonds).
In one view, and with long return horizons, an index-based etf is a “will be around forever bet”, in that it bets there will be economic growth on average for as long as the dollar is worth anything. The main way it can go wrong is with hyper inflation.
Maybe going long, with 100% govt bonds is a decent fall eventually bet, but again, that’s targeting a very specific scenario where all of the economy crashes for a long time, but bonds still pay out (better than real estate or other physical goods).