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Re:China Cracks Down on Churches by throwaway2048 on Tuesday December 25, 2018 @01:39PM (#18758629)
That was also the argument for why WW1 could never happen, yet it did.
Re:China Cracks Down on Churches by dgzl on Tuesday December 25, 2018 @02:09PM (#18758765)
Could you explain this?
Re:China Cracks Down on Churches by throwaway2048 on Tuesday December 25, 2018 @02:30PM (#18758843)
https://wwi.lib.byu.edu/index.php/Norman_Angell%27s_The_Grea...

An excerpt from a book by Norman Angell, (Nobel Peace Prize winner, lecturer, journalist and MP) in 1910 as to why wide scale war could not happen between major powers.

    [War] belongs to a stage of development out of which 
    we have passed that the commerce and industry of a 
    people no longer depend upon the expansion of its 
    political frontiers; that a nation's political and 
    economic frontiers do not now necessarily coincide; 
    that military power is socially and economically 
    futile, and can have no relation to the prosperity 
    of the people exercising it; that it is impossible 
    for one nation to seize by force the wealth or trade 
    of another -- to enrich itself by subjugating, or
    imposing its will by force on another; that in short,
    war, even when victorious, can no longer achieve those 
    aims for which people strive.

It was a fairly widespread view at that point in time.
Re:China Cracks Down on Churches by lgleason on Tuesday December 25, 2018 @10:38PM (#18760328)
I guess the leaders at the time forgot to read his book ;)
Re:China Cracks Down on Churches by bcaa7f3a8bbc on Tuesday December 25, 2018 @02:53PM (#18758935)
Does a higher degree of globalization lead to a higher degree of stability and peace? This is a classical and interesting discussion. The world before World War I was arguably highly globalized. I failed to find a comprehensive summary of the arguments and counter-arguments, but here a few links:

“The First World War in the History of Globalization”

https://www.etown.edu/offices/president/2014-11-14-WW1-Globa...

The world today looks ominously like it did before World War I

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/12/29/the-w...

Globalization = No War? Does an increasingly economically interconnected world cut the chance of war? Maybe, but it doesn’t eliminate it.

https://thediplomat.com/2011/08/globalization-no-war/

We mustn’t fall for The Great Illusion again

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/china/955570...

The Great Illusion

https://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/15/opinion/15krugman.html

IMHO, the argument is partially true. But on the other hand, it increases the complexity of the system, and makes many otherwise unlikely "failure modes" possible.