News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on Why we should care about the Nate Silver vs. Nassim Taleb Twitter war. Parent comment

Re:Why we should care about the Nate Silver vs. Nassim Taleb... by Kurtz79 on Tuesday December 18, 2018 @12:16PM (#18708323)
I was following the website frequently at the time and I fully agree.

Bur I was just commenting that that the author is spot-on at least in that many readers do not take these explanations into account and they see just 28.6% of winning chance and they automatically convert it to 0% in their mind.

And the explanation is that they don't understand math and probability (or don't want to), whether the author likes it or not.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Why we should care about the Nate Silver vs. Nassim Taleb... by coryfklein on Tuesday December 18, 2018 @01:06PM (#18708869)
I still don't get why the author thinks it's OK to assign blame to 538 for readers interpreting things incorrectly when Nate clearly spends a significant amount of time trying to educate the readers on how to interpret.

It makes no sense to me to hold 538 accountable for readers interpretations of the data. If I wander into some realm of science I'm unfamiliar with (say, quantum mechanics) and start making false inferences from it, does that mean the scientists were misleading me?

[ Parent | on HN ]