>> React has become difficult to reason about

Absolutely. React started off simple but with things like Redux added on, it has become unnecessarily complex. The performance benefits of React is overrated. Javascript is so fast these days that you can rerender the whole page on navigation and no one will know the difference. I built a whole social network site based on a simpler alternative, UIBuilder, and you can see for yourself that it is performant: https://circles.app

UIBuilder is here: https://github.com/wisercoder/uibuilder