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Re:Crime is a Family Affair by tomlock on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:02PM (#18286908)
> as the University of Maryland criminologist John Laub told me, it’s because any suggestion of a possible biological or genetic basis for crime could be misconstrued as racism.

Or, it is because biological and genetic factors aren't as powerful at predicting crime as other factors. The idea that crime runs in families indicates a biological factor in crime is nonsense. Families and children that start in lower deciles of wealth are likely to stay there. Social mobility is awful.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by iguy on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:18PM (#18287060)
We have numbers on this sort of thing. Here are some Swedish adoption studies (they track everyone) which, from a first glance, support the usual rule of half-half:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4009388/

http://sci-hub.tw/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2012.11.0...

I can't now find the (also Swedish I think) study I remember, which managed to look at families who'd got suddenly rich between the 1st son & the 2nd son.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by nostromo on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:43PM (#18287291)
There was a seminal study in the US of twins who were adopted (and raised) by different parents.

This of course is an amazing natural experiment to see if genes or parenting is the cause of important personality traits.

The study "found that an identical twin reared away from his or her co-twin seems to have about an equal chance of being similar to the co-twin in terms of personality, interests, and attitudes as one who has been reared with his or her co-twin. This leads to the conclusion that the similarities between twins are due to genes, not environment, since the differences between twins reared apart must be due totally to the environment."

So, yes, genes clearly matter.

This is a very unfashionable finding currently in the US, but the science is clear.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minnesota_Twin_Family_Study

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by jaccarmac on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:56PM (#18287404)
Keep in mind that study used an existing registry of twins.

Families who adopt are not necessarily representative of the wider population.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by Steko on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @09:31PM (#18288981)
> a very unfashionable finding currently in the US, but the science is clear.

The science is not really that clear. Tyler Cowen [1] refers us to Jay Joseph [2] who refers us to other critics of "twins reared apart" ("TRA") studies:

Critics, however, have pointed to several key methodological problems with TRA studies (TRA study critics include Farber, 1981; Joseph, 2001, 2004, 2010; Kamin, 1974; Kamin & Goldberger, 2002; Lewontin, Rose, & Kamin, 1984; Taylor, 1980). These problems include (a) the doubtful “separation” of twins, who frequently grew up together and had contact over much of their lives, (b) similarity bias in the methods of MZA identification and recruitment, (c) the questionable status of “intelligence” and “personality” as valid and quantifiable constructs, (d) the failure of the MISTRA researchers to publish or share raw data and life history information for the twins under study, and (e) the impact that the researchers’ bias in favor of genetic interpretations may have had on their results and conclusions.

and continues:

While these and other issues are important, the main problem with TRA studies such as Bouchard’s MISTRA is clear: the investigators used the wrong control group (MZTs). By using MZTs as controls, they failed to control for several key environmental factors shared by both MZA and MZT pairs (see Joseph, 2004; Rose, 1982). Environmental influences shared by both MZAs and MZTs include but are not limited to the following:

• They are exactly the same age (birth cohort).

• They are always the same sex.

• They are almost always the same ethnicity.

• Their appearance is strikingly similar (which will elicit more similar treatment from the social environment).

• They usually are raised in the same socioeconomic class.

• They usually are raised in the same culture.

• They shared the same prenatal environment.

• Most studied pairs spent a certain amount of time together in the same family environment, were aware of each other’s existence when studied, and often had regular contact over long periods of time (Farber, 1981; Kamin, 1974).

So maybe twin studies aren't the slam dunk they are often presented as.

[1] http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2011/02/wha....

[2] http://jayjoseph.net/yahoo_site_admin/assets/docs/Claims_and....

Also referenced by Cowen:

http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPag....

http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/econ/archive/wp2001-08.pdf

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by dec0dedab0de on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:16PM (#18287027)
The idea that crime runs in families indicates a biological factor in crime is nonsense.

Yes, but it does suggest it is a possibility. I thought it was a common belief that genetics play a part in addiction, and mental illness. I do agree that socioeconomic factors are most likely the biggest contributor, the movie Trading Places convinced me of that at a young age. I just think it would be foolish to dismiss genetics completely.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by thaumasiotes on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:26PM (#18287143)
> I do agree that socioeconomic factors are most likely the biggest contributor, the movie Trading Places convinced me of that at a young age.

This is an interesting thing to admit. What is the evidentiary value of a fictional movie?

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by dec0dedab0de on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:44PM (#18287306)
Probably the same as any fable or faery tale. It presents the idea that people are a product of their environment, which is a fairly easy concept to believe. Also when I said young, I meant like 5 or 6, I was not considering "evidentiary value." Though for what it's worth, my experiences have pretty much backed this up.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by pmjordan on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:09PM (#18286968)
Surely it's not just wealth though - if kids grow up in a family environment where breaking the law is normal, I'd very much expect that to affect their attitudes differently than if they grow up in a law-abiding family.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by jacquesm on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:14PM (#18287012)
Given the wealth disparity in some places it is actually surprising how law abiding most people are. Keep in mind that the rich have a disproportionate effect in making the laws in the first place.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by frank_nitti on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:18PM (#18287061)
Seriously. I would say that also applies over to the author's claim that "doctors produce doctors, lawyers produce lawyers", etc. Sure, kids whose parents/relatives have forged a career in a particular industry have a much easier time making their way in, I would seriously doubt that genetics are a major factor other than general cognitive ability.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by PeterisP on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @08:04PM (#18288570)
IIRC studies about career choice imply that "doctors produce doctors, lawyers produce lawyers" is somewhat true, however, not because ability (there was no evidence that there's much specialized ability, someone who has the qualities where they're likely going to be a good doctor is also likely to be a good lawyer and vice versa), but because career choice is highly influenced by the options you consider, by the choices that seem "normal" in your community, and that is highly influenced by having parents/relatives in that field.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by barry-cotter on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @10:15PM (#18289168)
General cognitive ability is a pretty big contributor to social and professional success but so is conscientiousness. To a lesser extent so are extraversion, (a lack of) neuroticism and work ethic, all of which are heritable.

Family trades are a big thing but even absent that social status is highly heritable in every society Gregory Clarke looked at in England, the United States, Sweden, India, China, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, and Chile. A doctor’s children may have divergent status but their children and grandchildren will look more similar, on average, as n increases the variance will decrease.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Son_Also_Rises_(book)

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by Loughla on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:08PM (#18286963)
Trying to say that crime is biological is just a classic example of misunderstanding correlation and causation at best, and an attempt to justify hate speech at worst.

You're 100% spot on that it's not biological, but more than likely just a result of the other factors associated with class and access to wealth.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by nostromo on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:36PM (#18287229)
It's ridiculous how quickly some are to wave away all of biology in favor of the blank slate theory.

Yes, nurture matters, but so does nature. Declaring this settled science "an attempt to justify hate speech" is laughable.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by tptacek on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @05:04PM (#18287475)
There is no "settled science" establishing a genetic determinant for crime. The person speaking in absolute terms and "waving away" thing is you, with your invocation of an absolute "blank slate theory".
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by PeterisP on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @08:17PM (#18288624)
IMHO it's misleading to say "There is no "settled science" establishing a genetic determinant for crime." - while it's debatable how large that component is, there certainly is evidence that it's very unlikely to be zero.

In particular, the following factors are both quite correlated with crime (and in a way where it's reasonable to assume causation) and also are known to be somewhat heritable:

a) mental disorders such as psychopathy;

b) being prone to addiction;

c) general impulse control and risk-seeking behavior.

Given the available evidence, it would be wrong to assume an absolute lack of relationship between your genes and propensity to crime, there clearly is some (though not necessarily large) genetic determinant for crime - all other things being equal, some newborn babies are a bit more likely than others to go on and commit crimes when they grow up.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by tptacek on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @11:05PM (#18289388)
Your first two factors are straightforward to concede, but then you add a question-begging (c) that is (1) much more difficult to agree with and (2) happens to be heavily tied up with the same racist rhetoric† the comment upthread is cautioning about. (You also conflate heritability with genetic determinism).

My issue isn't with the claim that there is likely some genetic connection to crime. Clearly, in some extreme cases, there is. My issue is with the extrapolation from extreme cases and from very un-settled science to broad claims about genetic determinism (and supposed unwillingness of others to entertain those claims).

† I'm not saying you're using racist rhetoric, I'm saying you're using rhetoric that is also leaned on by racists; for instance, "black people have a genetic predisposition to high time preference".

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by PeterisP on Wednesday October 24, 2018 @06:26AM (#18291127)
The (c) is not colloquial question-begging (or at least not intended so), these aspects (risk-seeking behavior and impulse control) are very specific personality traits that are measurable and have been studied quite much, as they are important for sociology, behavioral economics, etc.

These personality traits (like most personality traits, really) have a clear genetic component. I would consider this as settled science. For a single example, studies show that varieties of dopamine receptor D4 gene (DRD4) influence financial risk-taking propensity, impulsivity (e.g. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1781951/), and pathological gambling. As far as we assume causal relationship from impulsivity and pathological gambling to risk of crime (likely there are studies for that, but I'm not going to look now, this seems a reasonable assumption), this implies that this is one more (of many!) genetic factors that have some (small) influence on the likelihood of committing crimes.

Coming back to your specific objections, can you elaborate the what your issue is with "broad claims about genetic determinism" here? I'm not seeing any serious claims of actual genetic determinism (i.e. that it's "all nature") in this thread, I'm only seeing objections to a "no nature" argument, claims that there is no genetic component. The current established scientific opinion is that the vast majority of personality traits are determined by genetic factors (including e.g. epigenetics) and environmental/social factors and individual variation, with all of these influences being intertwined and each of them constituting a major part of the influence. And this is not limited to extreme cases (i.e. particular genetic disorders), but to all the normal variation of human behavior.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by nostromo on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @05:26PM (#18287644)
I'm not saying one can read their DNA and determine if they will commit crime or not.

But there are a lot of inherited traits that absolutely could lead one to be more likely to get involved in crime. Things like fight vs flight response, risk tolerance, extroversion/introversion, etc.

Saying "You're 100% spot on that it's not biological" is really absurd. Nothing about humans is 100% non biological. That absolutism is exactly blank slate theory.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by tptacek on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @05:32PM (#18287695)
In context, the sentiment that you're replying to is discussing a criminologist's concern that a genetic basis for criminality --- which, again, there is no "settled science" to suggest exists at all --- would be construed as racism. At best, you're making the same hyperbolic argument you're complaining about, just in the opposite direction.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by nostromo on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @05:36PM (#18287724)
Except I'm not. I specifically called out that genetics and environment are both important, in response to someone who declared that genetics play no role whatsoever -- and that arguing otherwise is engaging in hate speech.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by tptacek on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @05:38PM (#18287739)
You're not even reading the original comment you're replying to accurately, let alone charitably. They said that arguing for biological determinants of crime is at worst a justification for hate speech, not that it automatically is. And it's clear that pleading to biological causes for criminality is often a rationale to justify racism, so they're not wrong.
Re:Crime is a Family Affair by nostromo on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @06:02PM (#18287909)
If bad people use the results of good science for bad reasons, then attack those people, not the science itself.

We can't close our eyes and ears and pretend that genetics plays no role in society (including issues of violence, crime, mental health, addiction, etc).

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by tptacek on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @06:22PM (#18288016)
See, you're doing it again. You've (upthread) made a claim you can't support with evidence --- that there's "settled science" connecting genetics in some useful way with criminality --- and then accused people who disagree with you of "closing our eyes and ears" (rhetorical note: it's hard to close your ears) and "pretending that genetics plays no role".

Again, the context of the thread is that appeals to genetic determination are "in the worst case" coded appeals to racism. And, obviously, they often are. You haven't engaged with that argument, but rather constructed a straw man to attack.

What is true is that if you want to ruminate on possible genetic links to criminality, you're probably need to be careful, because you're treading on ground that has very much been staked out by racists over the last 100-or-so years. Don't get angry at people who point that out to you; get angry at the racists. Or, I mean, move on to some other, less freighted argument.

Re:Crime is a Family Affair by lmaximus1983 on Tuesday October 23, 2018 @04:49PM (#18287353)
No it isn't. There deffo is some sort of component to it.

I have never met my Grandfather and Uncle that were thieves and another was a sex offender.

I do however like mischief and I love the feeling of thieving stuff. I used to work in Gambling and absolutely loved the idea of taking money from other people. I also have a lot of affiliate sites and I feel like I am stealing that money.

However to say it is 100% one or the other is also garbage. It is another nature vs nurture argument.

Also "Hate Speech" is another way of saying I don't have an argument. It is just a way of saying "You are bad because I don't like what you are saying". This term is destroying my country (people in the UK have been imprisoned because they have posted rap lyrics on facebook).

https://reason.com/blog/2018/04/23/she-posted-rap-lyrics-to-...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-merseyside-43816921