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Re:Survey of YC female founders on sexual harassment, coerci... by runako on Monday October 15, 2018 @04:09PM (#18223230)
>> the true lower-bound in percentage terms would be 19 (that we know were harassed) of 384 (total population), around 5%.

You're mixing a population about which you can make an inference (survey participants) with a population about which you cannot (people who were not even contacted about the survey). The resulting percentage is essentially meaningless.

Re:Survey of YC female founders on sexual harassment, coerci... by comex on Monday October 15, 2018 @05:15PM (#18223831)
It is meaningless, if you want an accurate estimate, or even, say, a 95%-confidence lower bound.

But since we like to be pedantic on this forum, I’ll defend the parent: if you want a true, 100%-confidence lower bound (ignoring the possibility of false reports), then that would be 5%. It’s a completely useless statistic, and you shouldn’t use it for anything, but it’s correct for the strictest possible interpretation of “lower bound”.

Re:Survey of YC female founders on sexual harassment, coerci... by dbt00 on Monday October 15, 2018 @08:02PM (#18225249)
And if you want a 99.99% confidence upper bound, it's (384-88+19)/384 == 82%. (the .01% is the probability of false negatives in the survey data). Again, pedantic, true, and useless, but cited for balance.