Re:Trees Could Change the Climate More Than Scientists Thought
by pdonis on Monday October 15, 2018 @10:33AM
(#18219976)
> +1C from pre-industrial times. Apparently we are at +0.8-1.2 in that measure.
Which all depends on how you choose "pre-industrial times" and how accurate you think temperature readings from those times are. Since even today's thermometers are only accurate to within half a degree or so, I'm not sure how we can even know the change from "pre-industrial times" to within less than half a degree (four tenths of a degree according to your statement).
> The report says 0.2-0.5. The +0.6 from 1990 to today is at the lower end of that range.
Yes, that's true. But as I noted, that's not the only comparison between models and data. Looking at comparisons overall, the statement I made, that the data is outside the lower end of the models' confidence interval, is correct.
+1C from pre-industrial times. Apparently we are at +0.8-1.2 in that measure.
>The prediction for that scenario is +0.3C per decade.
The report says 0.2-0.5. The +0.6 from 1990 to today is at the lower end of that range. It seems to me you're splitting hairs when the models are doing alright.