I think some believers see a steady state universe. Life then becomes a boltzman brain. But I think panspermia is likely a thing and I think life naturally arises in open dissipative systems. Get a rock, water, and a heat source and wait a few million years...

> Get a rock, water, and a heat source and wait a few million years...

And you get a warm, wet rock.

Statistics, probability theory and physics don't work like that. You can't arrive at the conclusion by stating a premise and wishful thinking.

Why does everyone claim to know things they don't know? The more I know the more stupid popular opinion becomes.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilya_Prigogine

I think what's missing from your closed system is some kind of variation to induce change. Earth might not have enjoyed life without the rotation and revolution of the Earth generating conductive (and other) currents in the air and water.

Side note, I think you could make stronger points by not distracting with that kind of off-putting sarcasm.

Jeremy England got popular a few years ago for claiming that life is inevitable on nearly every planet. Hmm

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-new-physics-the...

Funny how we go from “we are the only ones here” to “lifs is everywhere” and Drake’s equation is a giant fudge:

https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/384:_The_Drake_Eq...

So atheists are sure that creationism is silly but then postulate Multiverse Theory + Anthropic Principle and Life is Inevitable?

Let’s ALL be humble and say that, at this point, we have absolutely no idea how life began, and these are all speculative and unproven theories.